**STAT 200 OL1/US1 Sections Final Exam Summer 2016 2**

STAT 200: Introduction to Statistics Final Examination, Summer 2016 OL1 Page 1 of 7

*STAT**200**OL1/US1**Sections**Final**Exam**Summer**2016*

**The** **final** **exam** **will** **be** **posted** **a****t** **12:01** **am** **o****n** **July** **8,** **and** **it** **is** **due** **at** **11:59** **pm** **on** **July** **10,** **2016.** **Eastern** **Time** **is** **our** **reference** **time.**

**This** **is** **a****n** **open-book** **exam.** **You** **may** **refer** **to** **your** **text** **and** **other** **course** **materials** **as** **you** **work** **on** **the** **exam,** **and** **you** **may** **use** **a** **calculator.** **You** **must****complete** **the** **exam** **individually.** **Neither** **collaboration** **nor** **consultation** **with** **others** **is** **allowed.** **It** **is** **a** **violation** **of** **the** **UMUC** **Academic** **Dishonesty** **and****Plagiarism** **policy** **to** **use** **unauthorized** **materials** **or** **work** **from** **others.**

**Answer** **all** **20** **questions.** **Make** **sure** **your** **answers** **are** **as** **complete** **as** **possible.** **Show** **all** **of** **your** **supporting** **work** **and** **reasoning.** **Answers** **that** **come****straight** **from** **calculators,** **programs** **or** **software** **packages** **without** **any** **explanation** **will** **not** **be** **accepted.** **If** **you** **need** **to** **use** **technology** **(for** **example,****Excel,** **online** **or** **hand-held** **calculators,** **statistical** **packages)** **to** **aid** **in** **your** **calculation,** **you** **must** **cite** **the** **sources** **and** **explain** **how** **you** **get** **the** **results.**

__Record your answers and work on the separate answer sheet provided__**.**

**This** **exam** **has** **200** **total** **points;** **10** **points** **for** **each** **question.**

*Y**ou**m**ust**include**the**Honor**Pledge**on**the**title**page**of**your**submitted**final**exam.**Exams**submitted**without**the**Honor**Pledge**will**not**be**accepted.*

STAT 200: Introduction to Statistics Final Examination, Summer 2016 OL1 Page 2 of 7

**1.** True or False. *Justify* *for* *full* *credit.*

(a) If P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.5, and A and B are independent, then P(A AND B) = 0.9.

(b) If the variance of a data set is 0, then all the observations in this data set must be zero. (c) The mean is always equal to the median for a normal distribution.

(d) A 95% confidence interval is wider than a 90% confidence interval of the same parameter. (e) In a two-tailed test, the value of the test statistic is 2. The test statistic follows a

distribution with the distribution curve shown below. If we know the shaded area is 0.03, then we have sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis at 0.05 level of significance.

**2.** Choose the best answer. *Justify* *for* *full* *credit.*

(a) Among the Senators in the current Congress, 54% are Republicans. The value 54% is a (i) statistic

(ii) parameter

(iii) cannot be determined

(b) The hotel ratings are usually on a scale from 0 star to 5 stars. The level of this measurement is (i) interval

(ii) nominal (iii) ordinal (iv) ratio

(c) In a career readiness research, 100 students were randomly selected from the psychology program, 150 students were randomly selected from the communications program, and 120 students were randomly selected from cyber security program. This type of sampling is called:

(i) cluster

(ii) convenience (iii) systematic (iv) stratified

STAT 200: Introduction to Statistics Final Examination, Summer 2016 OL1 Page 3 of 7

**3.** Choose the best answer. *Justify* *for* *full* *credit.*

(a) A study of 10 different weight loss programs involved 500 subjects. Each of the 10 programs had 50 subjects in it. The subjects were followed for 12 months. Weight change for each subject was recorded. You want to test the claim that the mean weight loss is the same for the 10 programs. What statistical approach should be used?

(i) t-test

(ii) linear regression (iii) ANOVA

(iv) confidence interval

(b) A STAT 200 instructor teaches two classes. She wants to test if the variances of the score distribution for the two classes are different. What type of hypothesis test should she use? (i) t-test for two independent samples

(ii) t-test for matched samples (iii) z-test for two samples

(iv) F- test

**4.** The frequency distribution below shows the distribution for IQ scores for a random sample of 1000 adults. (*Show* *all* *w**ork.* *Just* *the* *answer,* *without**supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.)*

IQ Scores

Frequency

Relative Frequency

50 - 69

24

70 - 89

228

90 -109

493

110 - 129

0.23

130 - 149

25

Total

1000

(a) Complete the frequency table with frequency and relative frequency. Express the relative frequency to three decimal places.

(b) What percentage of the adults in this sample has an IQ score of at least 110? (c) Does this distribution have positive skew or negative skew? Why or why not?

STAT 200: Introduction to Statistics Final Examination, Summer 2016 OL1 Page 4 of 7

**5.** The five-number summary below shows the grade distribution of two STAT 200 quizzes for a sample of 500 students.

Minimum

Q1

Median

Q3

Maximum

Quiz 1

15

35

55

85

100

Quiz 2

20

35

50

90

100

For each question, give your answer as one of the following: (i) Quiz 1; (ii) Quiz 2; (iii) Both quizzes have the same value requested; (iv) It is impossible to tell using only the given information. Then *explain* your answer in *each* case.

(a) Which quiz has less range in grade distribution?

(b) Which quiz has the greater percentage of students with grades 85 and over? (c) Which quiz has a greater percentage of students with grades less than 60?

**6.** A sample of 10 LED light bulbs consists of 1 defective and 9 good light bulbs. A quality control technician wants to randomly select two of the light bulbs for inspection. Find the probability that the first selected light bulb is good and the second light bulb is also good. **(***Show* *all* *w**ork.* *Just* *the* *answer,* *without**supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.)*

(a) Assuming the two random selections are made with replacement. (b) Assuming the two random selections are made without replacement.

**7.** There are 1000 students in a high school. Among the 1000 students, 250 students take AP Statistics, and 300 students take AP French. 100 students take both AP courses. Let S be the event that a randomly selected student takes AP Statistics, and F be the event that a randomly selected student takes AP French. *Show* *all* *work.* *Just* *the* *answer,* *without* *supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

(a) Provide a written description of the complement event of (S OR F). (b) What is the probability of complement event of (S OR F)?

**8.** Consider rolling two fair dice. Let A be the event that the sum of the two dice is 8, and B be the event that the first one is a multiple of 3.

(a) What is the probability that the sum of the two dice is 8 given that the first one is a multiple of 3? *Show* *all* *w**ork.* *Just* *the* *answer,* *without* *supporting**w**ork,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

(b) Are event A and event B independent? Explain.

STAT 200: Introduction to Statistics Final Examination, Summer 2016 OL1 Page 5 of 7

**9.** Answer the following two questions. (*Show* *all* *work.* *Just* *the* *answer,* *without* *supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit).*

(a) UMUC Stat Club is sending a delegate of 2 members to attend the 2016 Joint Statistical Meeting in Chicago. There are 10 qualified candidates. How many different ways can the delegate be selected?

(b) A bike courier needs to make deliveries at 6 different locations. How many different routes can he take?

**10**. Assume random variable *x* follows a probability distribution shown in the table below. Determine the mean and standard deviation of *x*. *Show* *all* *work.**Just* *the* *answer,* *without* *supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

*x*

-2

0

1

2

3

P(*x*)

0.1

0.1

0.3

0.2

0.3

**11.** Rabbits like to eat the cucumbers in Mimi’s garden. There are 10 cucumbers in her garden which will be ready to harvest in about 10 days. Based on her experience, the probability of a cucumber being eaten by the rabbits before harvest is 0.30.

(a) Let X be the number of cucumbers that Mimi harvests (that is, the number of cucumbers not eaten by rabbits). As we know, the distribution of X is a binomial probability distribution. What is the number of trials (n), probability of successes (p) and probability of failures (q), respectively?

(b) Find the probability that Mimi harvests at least 8 of the 10 cucumbers. (round the answer to 3 decimal places) *Show* *all* *work.* *Just* *the* *answer,* *without**supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

**12.** Assume the weights of men are normally distributed with a mean of 170 lbs and a standard deviation of 30 lbs. *Show* *all* *w**ork.* *Just* *the* *answer,* *without**supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

(a) Find the 75th percentile for the distribution of men’s weights.

(b) What is the probability that a randomly selected man weighs more than 200 lbs?

**13.** Assume the SAT Mathematics Level 2 test scores are normally distributed with a mean of 500 and a standard deviation of 100. *Show* *all* *w**ork.* *Just* *the**answer,* *without* *supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

(a) If a random sample of 64 test scores is selected, what is the standard deviation of the sample mean?

(b) What is the probability that 64 randomly selected test scores will have a mean test score that is between 475 and 525?

STAT 200: Introduction to Statistics Final Examination, Summer 2016 OL1 Page 6 of 7

**14.** A survey showed that 80% of the 1600 adult respondents believe in global warming. Construct a 90% confidence interval estimate of the proportion of adults believing in global warming. *S**how* *all* *work.* *Just* *the* *answer,* *w**ithout* *supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

**15.** In a study designed to test the effectiveness of garlic for lowering cholesterol, 49 adults were treated with garlic tablets. Cholesterol levels were measured before and after the treatment. The changes in their LDL cholesterol (in mg/dL) have a mean of 3 and standard deviation of 14. Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the mean change in LDL cholesterol after the garlic tablet treatment. *Show* *all* *w**ork.* *Just* *the* *answer,* *without* *supporting* *work,**will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

**16.** Mimi is interested in testing the claim that banana is the favorite fruit for more than 80% of the adults. She conducted a survey on a random sample of 100 adults. 85 adults in the sample chose banana as his / her favorite fruit.

Assume Mimi wants to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim.

(a) Identify the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis.

(b) Determine the test statistic. *Show* *all* *work;* *writing* *the* *correct* *test* *statistic,* *without* *supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

(c) Determine the *P*-value for this test. *Show* *all* *work;* *writing* *the* *correct* *P-value,* *without* *supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

(d) Is there sufficient evidence to support the claim that banana is the favorite fruit for more than 80% of the adults? Explain.

**17.** In a study of freshman weight gain, the measured weights of 5 randomly selected college students in September and April of their freshman year are shown in the following table.

Weight (kg)

Student

September April

1 2 3 4 5

67 66 53 52 64 68 71 69 70 71

Is there evidence to suggest that the mean weight of the freshmen in April is greater than the mean weight in September?

Assume we want to use a 0.10 significance level to test the claim.

(a) Identify the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis.

(b) Determine the test statistic. *Show* *all* *work;* *writing* *the* *correct* *test* *statistic,* *without* *supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

(c) Determine the P-value for this test. *S**how* *all* *work;* *writing* *the* *correct* *P-value,* *without* *supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

STAT 200: Introduction to Statistics Final Examination, Summer 2016 OL1 Page 7 of 7

(d) Is there sufficient evidence to support the claim that the mean weight of the freshmen in April is greater than the mean weight in September? Justify your conclusion.

**18.** In a pulse rate research, a simple random sample of 40 men results in a mean of 80 beats per minute, and a standard deviation of 11.3 beats per minute. Based on the sample results, the researcher concludes that the pulse rates of men have a standard deviation greater than 10 beats per minutes. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the researcher’s claim.

(a) Identify the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis.

(b) Determine the test statistic. *Show* *all* *work;* *writing* *the* *correct* *test* *statistic,* *without* *supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

(c) Determine the *P*-value for this test. *Show* *all* *work;* *writing* *the* *correct* *P-value,* *without* *supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

(d) Is there sufficient evidence to support the researcher’s claim? Explain.

**19.** The UMUC Daily News reported that the color distribution for plain M&M’s was: 40% brown, 20% yellow, 20% orange, 10% green, and 10% tan**.** Each piece of candy in a random sample of 100 plain M&M’s was classified according to color**,** and the results are listed below. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the published color distribution is correct. *Show* *all* *work* *and* *justify* *your* *answer.*

Color

Brown

Yellow

Orange

Green

Tan

Number

42

21

12

7

18

(a) Identify the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis.

*Show* *all* *work;* *writing* *the* *correct* *test* *statistic,* *without* *supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

(c) Determine the P-value. *Show* *all* *work;* *writing* *the* *correct* *P-value,* *without* *supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

(d) Is there sufficient evidence to support the claim that the published color distribution is correct? Justify your answer.

**20**. A STAT 200 instructor believes that the average quiz score is a good predictor of final exam score. A random sample of 5 students produced the following data where *x* is the average quiz score and *y* is the final exam score.

*x*

80

50

60

100

70

*y*

145

150

130

180

120

(a) Find an equation of the least squares regression line. *Show* *all* *work;* *writing* *the* *correct* *equation,* *without* *supporting* *work,* *will* *receive* *no* *credit.*

(b) Based on the equation from part (a), what is the predicted final exam score if the average quiz score is 90? *Show* *all* *work* *and* *justify* *your* *answer.*

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